Swiss Wages Projected to Rise by 1.0 Percent in 2027

A survey by UBS indicates that inflation will absorb most nominal salary gains for Swiss employees next year.

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Swiss Wages Projected to Rise by 1.0 Percent in 2027

Swiss employers plan to raise salaries by an average of 1.0 percent in 2027, according to the annual wage survey published by major bank UBS on Tuesday. Given an expected annual inflation rate of 0.8 percent, the net increase in purchasing power for Swiss workers is projected at 0.2 percent. The survey, which gathered data from nearly 400 companies across Switzerland, indicates that real wage growth will remain minimal despite an improving overall economic outlook.

The modest salary projections contrast with broader macroeconomic forecasts for the country. UBS expects Swiss gross domestic product to expand by 1.5 percent in 2027, supported by growing business confidence across all major economic sectors. However, corporate human resources departments and executive boards continue to exercise restraint regarding payroll expansion and staffing levels.

According to UBS economist Meret Mügeli, modest inflation expectations and persistent caution in corporate headcount planning are the primary drivers behind the contained salary adjustments. Employers appear hesitant to grant significant wage increases even as economic momentum picks up, choosing instead to maintain lean cost structures. Consequently, the labor market outlook remains subdued across most domestic industries.

The survey highlights noticeable disparities in compensation adjustments across different sectors of the economy. The highest salary increases are anticipated in the energy, supply, and waste management sectors, where employers plan average adjustments of 1.5 percent. The chemical and pharmaceutical industries, alongside the metal sector, are preparing for average wage gains of 1.2 percent, whereas most other branches plan to match the national average of 1.0 percent.

At the lower end of the compensation spectrum, consumer-oriented and luxury goods manufacturing report weaker growth prospects. Retail firms intend to implement salary raises averaging 0.8 percent for the coming year. The watchmaking and jewelry sector planned the smallest wage adjustments overall, setting planned increases at 0.7 percent.

Written by Thomas Nussbaumer thomas.nussbaumer@alpineweekly.com