May 28, 2:53 PM

Persian Gulf Allies Are Running Out of Missile Defenses as Iran Barrages Continue

Nearly 2,400 interceptors fired since February 28; Patriot stocks were below 2,800 before the war. Iran has launched 1,200 ballistic missiles and 4,000 Shahed drones at Gulf states.

Countries across the Persian Gulf are reportedly running dangerously low on interceptor missiles after weeks of sustained Iranian missile and drone attacks, intensifying concerns that the region’s air-defense systems may struggle to cope if the conflict continues escalating.

According to a report by Bloomberg, Gulf states have already used roughly 2,400 interceptor missiles since late February, consuming the overwhelming majority of their prewar stockpiles. The report cites mounting pressure on missile-defense systems following repeated barrages launched by Iran against targets across the Gulf region.

The scale of the attacks has reportedly been extraordinary.

Bloomberg states that Iran has launched nearly 1,200 ballistic missiles and around 4,000 Shahed drones toward Gulf countries since the conflict began. During the most intense periods over the past weekend, regional monitoring reportedly recorded as many as 40 launches per day — roughly double the previous daily average.

The bulk of the depleted interceptors are believed to be US-made Patriot PAC-3 and GEM-T missiles, widely regarded as among the most important defensive systems protecting Gulf cities, military infrastructure and energy facilities from aerial attacks.

Before the war intensified, Gulf countries reportedly possessed fewer than 2,800 of these interceptor missiles combined. If Bloomberg’s figures are accurate, regional reserves may now be approaching critically low levels.

The situation highlights one of the central realities of modern missile warfare: offensive weapons are often cheaper and easier to mass-produce than the sophisticated systems designed to stop them. A single interceptor missile can cost several million dollars, while attack drones — especially Shahed-style systems — are comparatively inexpensive and can be launched in large numbers to overwhelm defenses.

Military analysts have long warned that even advanced air-defense networks can face serious strain under sustained saturation attacks. The Gulf states possess some of the world’s most sophisticated missile-defense infrastructure, heavily supported by the United States and Western defense contractors, but interceptor inventories were never designed for endless high-volume warfare.

The growing pressure on Gulf defenses also reflects how dramatically the regional conflict has expanded.

What initially appeared to be a contained confrontation has increasingly evolved into a broader missile and drone campaign affecting energy routes, military facilities and major urban centers across the Middle East. The use of Iranian ballistic missiles alongside large numbers of Shahed drones has forced Gulf states to maintain near-constant defensive operations.

The Shahed drones, in particular, have become a defining feature of Iran’s military strategy in recent years. Designed to be relatively cheap, long-range and difficult to counter economically, they allow Tehran and allied forces to pressure adversaries without relying solely on high-cost missile systems.

For Gulf governments, the depletion of interceptor stocks creates both military and political anxiety.

Several Gulf economies rely heavily on energy exports, financial stability and the perception of security to attract investment and maintain economic confidence. Prolonged images of missile interceptions over major cities or oil infrastructure could undermine that carefully cultivated image of stability.

There are also growing concerns about supply chains.

Producing advanced interceptor missiles takes time, and replenishing inventories may prove difficult if the conflict continues at its current pace. Patriot missiles require highly specialized manufacturing and depend heavily on US defense production capacity, which is already under pressure from multiple global security commitments.

Analysts have increasingly questioned whether Western defense industries are prepared for prolonged high-intensity conflicts involving massive daily consumption of precision munitions and defensive systems.

The Gulf states now face a strategic dilemma familiar to many militaries in the era of drone warfare: every incoming projectile must usually be intercepted successfully, while attackers only need occasional breakthroughs to create serious damage.

Neither Gulf governments nor US officials have publicly confirmed the exact numbers reported by Bloomberg. Military data related to interceptor stockpiles is typically treated as highly sensitive. Still, the report is likely to deepen concerns among regional security planners already watching the conflict stretch air-defense resources at an alarming pace.

And while missile-defense systems are often presented as near-impenetrable technological shields, modern warfare keeps exposing a less glamorous reality: even the world’s most advanced defenses eventually run into the same problem as everything else in war — supplies run out, invoices pile up, and physics stubbornly refuses to offer discounts on incoming missiles.